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Kornacki Details Midterm Outlook One Month from Elections

NBC News chief data analyst Steve Kornacki discussed the latest polling numbers for the upcoming midterm elections. He outlined the current positions of the Senate and House races, identified key battleground states, and addressed major voter concerns.

10/06/2026

NEW YORK — Steve Kornacki, NBC News chief data analyst, provided an update on the midterm elections one month before voters head to the polls. He appeared on TODAY to discuss current polling data, the status of races in the Senate and House of Representatives, and issues influencing voters.

Kornacki outlined the current electoral landscape. He noted the positions of the two major parties in both chambers of Congress. He also identified specific states where competitive races are taking place.

He then addressed voter priorities. Kornacki discussed the major issues that voters are considering as the elections approach. His analysis focused on the statistical trends observed in recent polls.

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