Federal Funds Rate Data Tracks Historical Trends and Future Probabilities
Financial analysts monitor the effective federal funds rate, a key economic indicator. This rate represents the median of overnight federal funds transactions, calculated using data from the FR 2420 Report. Market participants also track probabilities of rate changes through Fed Funds futures prices.
Financial markets regularly monitor the effective federal funds rate (EFFR), a significant benchmark. This rate represents the volume-weighted median of overnight federal funds transactions. The FR 2420 Report provides the data for its calculation.
Interactive charts offer daily historical levels of the U.S. federal funds interest rate. This data extends back to 1954, allowing for long-term trend analysis.
Additionally, investors and analysts consult tools like FedWatch. This resource tracks the probabilities of changes to the federal funds rate. It derives these probabilities from 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices. The latest update to this information occurred on September 15, 2026, at 07:00 UTC.
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