HAHarvey Walden
17 hours ago2026 Kazakh legislative election
Election funding
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During the constitutional reform process in January 2026, analysts including Gaziz Abishev and Aidar Alibayev suggested that approval of the transition to a unicameral parliament would likely lead to early legislative elections rather than waiting until the scheduled January 2028 vote, arguing that the authorities had incentives to complete the political transition before possible economic deterioration and declining public support.<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=13 January 2026 |title=«"Перезагрузиться" под новую архитектуру сейчас кажется логичным». В Казахстане прогнозируют досрочные выборы |url=https://www.azattyqasia.org/a/v-kazahstane-prognoziruyut-vneocherednye-vybory/33647030.html |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty]] |language=ru}}</ref> Opposition politician [[Amirjan Qosanov]] assessed that the constitutional referendum would be followed by parliamentary approval of the amendments by both chambers, after which elections to the unicameral Kurultai could be held within two to three months.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Вайскопф |first=Анатолий |date=20 January 2026 |title=В Казахстане анонсированы масштабные политические реформы |url=https://www.dw.com/ru/v-kazahstane-anonsirovany-masstabnye-politiceskie-reformy/a-75584410 |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Deutsche Welle]] |language=ru}}</ref>
During the constitutional reform process in January 2026, analysts including Gaziz Abishev and Aidar Alibayev suggested that approval of the transition to a unicameral parliament would likely lead to early legislative elections rather than waiting until the scheduled January 2028 vote, arguing that the authorities had incentives to complete the political transition before possible economic deterioration and declining public support.<ref>{{Cite web |last= |first= |date=13 January 2026 |title=«"Перезагрузиться" под новую архитектуру сейчас кажется логичным». В Казахстане прогнозируют досрочные выборы |url=https://www.azattyqasia.org/a/v-kazahstane-prognoziruyut-vneocherednye-vybory/33647030.html |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty]] |language=ru}}</ref> Opposition politician [[Amirjan Qosanov]] assessed that the constitutional referendum would be followed by parliamentary approval of the amendments by both chambers, after which elections to the unicameral Kurultai could be held within two to three months.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Вайскопф |first=Анатолий |date=20 January 2026 |title=В Казахстане анонсированы масштабные политические реформы |url=https://www.dw.com/ru/v-kazahstane-anonsirovany-masstabnye-politiceskie-reformy/a-75584410 |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Deutsche Welle]] |language=ru}}</ref>
In the referendum campaign period, Senate chairman [[Mäulen Äşimbaev]] stipulated that, if approved, the current bicameral Parliament would remain in office until 1 July 2026, after which elections to the new unicameral Kurultai would be held before 1 September 2026, when the new legislature would begin its duties.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Орынбек |first=Мақпал |date=19 February 2026 |title=Құрылтай депутаттары қашан сайланады? |url=https://baq.kz/quryltay-deputattary-qashan-saylanady-320015182/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=BAQ |language=kk}}</ref> Following the referendum, president Tokayev stated at a meeting with representatives of youth organizations involved in the campaign that elections to the Kurultai would be held in the summer.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Ерубаева |first=Гүлмира |date=16 March 2026 |title=Тоқаев парламент сайлауы қашан өтетінін хабарлады |url=https://kaz.nur.kz/politics/kazakhstan/2354541-toqaev-parlament-sailauy-qashan-otetinin-habarlady/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Nur |language=kk}}</ref> He later confirmed in April 2026 that vote would take place sometime in August 2026.<ref>{{Cite web |last= |date=10 April 2026 |title=Құрылтай сайлауы тамыз айында өтеді - Тоқаев |url=https://kaz.tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/kuryiltay-saylauyi-tamyizda-oted-prezident-372964/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Tengrinews.kz |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Радиосы |first=Азаттық |date=10 April 2026 |title=Тамыз айында Қазақстанда Құрылтай сайлауы өтеді |url=https://www.azattyq.org/a/tamyz-aiynda-qazaqstanda-quryltai-sailauy-otedi/33729209.html |access-date=14 May 2026 |work=[[Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty]] |language=kk}}</ref>
In the referendum campaign period, Senate chairman [[Mäulen Äşimbaev]] stipulated that, if approved, the current bicameral Parliament would remain in office until 1 July 2026, after which elections to the new unicameral Kurultai would be held before 1 September 2026, when the new legislature would begin its duties.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Орынбек |first=Мақпал |date=19 February 2026 |title=Құрылтай депутаттары қашан сайланады? |url=https://baq.kz/quryltay-deputattary-qashan-saylanady-320015182/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=BAQ |language=kk}}</ref> Following the referendum, president Tokayev stated at a meeting with representatives of youth organizations involved in the campaign that elections to the Kurultai would be held in the summer.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Ерубаева |first=Гүлмира |date=16 March 2026 |title=Тоқаев парламент сайлауы қашан өтетінін хабарлады |url=https://kaz.nur.kz/politics/kazakhstan/2354541-toqaev-parlament-sailauy-qashan-otetinin-habarlady/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Nur |language=kk}}</ref> He later confirmed in April 2026 that the vote would take place in the month of August,<ref>{{Cite web |last= |date=10 April 2026 |title=Құрылтай сайлауы тамыз айында өтеді - Тоқаев |url=https://kaz.tengrinews.kz/kazakhstan_news/kuryiltay-saylauyi-tamyizda-oted-prezident-372964/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Tengrinews.kz |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Радиосы |first=Азаттық |date=10 April 2026 |title=Тамыз айында Қазақстанда Құрылтай сайлауы өтеді |url=https://www.azattyq.org/a/tamyz-aiynda-qazaqstanda-quryltai-sailauy-otedi/33729209.html |access-date=14 May 2026 |work=[[Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty]] |language=kk}}</ref> a timeframe he reiterated again in early June.<ref>{{Cite web |last= |date=4 June 2026 |title=Тоқаев Құрылтай сайлауы қашан өтетіні мен Қазақстан Халық Кеңесінің құрамы қашан жасақталатынын мәлімдеді |url=https://stan.kz/toqaev-quryltai-sailauy-qasan-otetininn-men-qazaqstan-xalyq-kenesinin-435373/ |access-date=4 June 2026 |website=Stan.kz |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Асқарқызы |first=Эльмира |date=4 June 2026 |title=Тоқаев қашан Құрылтай сайлауы өтетінін және Қазақстан Халық Кеңесі құрылатынын айтты |url=https://kaz.nur.kz/politics/kazakhstan/2384343-toqaev-qashan-quryltai-sailauy-otetinin-zhane-qazaqstan-halyq-kengesi-qurylatynyn-aitty/ |access-date=4 June 2026 |website=Nur |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news |last=Аманов |first=Бекзат |last2=Серікұлы |first2=Асхат |date=4 June 2026 |title=Астанада Мемлекеттік ту көтеру рәсімі өтті |url=https://24.kz/kz/zha-aly-tar/kogam/772539-astanada-memlekettik-tu-koteru-rasimi-otti |access-date=4 June 2026 |work=[[24KZ]] |language=kk}}</ref>
Political analyst Daniyar Ashimbayev stated that the constitutional transition created a compressed electoral timetable requiring elections to the Kurultai to be held between 1 August and 1 September 2026, noting media speculation surrounding possible election dates of 16 August, 23 August, and 30 August, while arguing that President Tokayev's advance announcement was intended to encourage parties to begin preparing for the campaign before the formal election decree was issued.<ref>{{Cite web |date=10 April 2026 |title=Данияр Ашимбаев |url=https://t.me/dashimbayev/10264 |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Telegram (software)|Telegram]]}}</ref> Following the [[Amanat (political party)|Amanat]] party's announcement of its extraordinary congress in June 2026, he suggested that this was interpreted within broader election-date speculation under the same compressed timetable, with possible voting dates discussed as 16 or 23 August.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Логинов |first=Руслан |date=1 June 2026 |title=AMANAT ликвидируют? Политолог объяснил, зачем партии внеочередной съезд |url=https://orda.kz/amanat-likvidirujut-politolog-objasnil-zachem-partii-vneocherednoj-sezd-415415/ |access-date=2 June 2026 |website=Orda.kz |language=ru}}</ref>
Political analyst Daniyar Ashimbayev stated that the constitutional transition created a compressed electoral timetable requiring elections to the Kurultai to be held between 1 August and 1 September 2026, noting media speculation surrounding possible election dates of 16 August, 23 August, and 30 August, while arguing that President Tokayev's advance announcement was intended to encourage parties to begin preparing for the campaign before the formal election decree was issued.<ref>{{Cite web |date=10 April 2026 |title=Данияр Ашимбаев |url=https://t.me/dashimbayev/10264 |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Telegram (software)|Telegram]]}}</ref> Following the [[Amanat (political party)|Amanat]] party's announcement of its extraordinary congress in June 2026, he suggested that this was interpreted within broader election-date speculation under the same compressed timetable, with possible voting dates discussed as 16 or 23 August.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Логинов |first=Руслан |date=1 June 2026 |title=AMANAT ликвидируют? Политолог объяснил, зачем партии внеочередной съезд |url=https://orda.kz/amanat-likvidirujut-politolog-objasnil-zachem-partii-vneocherednoj-sezd-415415/ |access-date=2 June 2026 |website=Orda.kz |language=ru}}</ref>
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=== Election funding ===
=== Election funding ===
In May 2026, the CEC estimated that the cost of the Kurultai elections could exceed 15–20 billion tenge and surpass the expenses of previous republican referendums, including the [[2026 Kazakh constitutional referendum|2026 constitutional referendum]].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Адамбек |first=Альфия |date=8 May 2026 |title=Құрылтайды ұйымдастыру шығыны 15,5 млрд теңгеден асуы мүмкін - Arysinfo.kz қоғамдық-саяси, ақпараттық-танымдық сайт |url=https://arysinfo.kz/ajmak/kuryltajdy-ujymdastyru-shygyny-15-5-mlrd-tengeden-asuy-mumkin/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Arysinfo.kz |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Субботина |first=Алена |date=8 May 2026 |title=Құрылтай сайлауы Қазақстанға 20 млрд теңгеден астам қаражатқа түсуі мүмкін |url=https://kaztag.kz/kz/news/-ryltay-saylauy-aza-stan-a-20-mlrd-te-geden-astam-arazhat-a-t-sui-m-mkin |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=KazTAG |language=kk}}</ref> CEC secretary [[Şavkat Ötemisov]] noted that the final budget would be determined after the election date is announced, with major costs expected to be driven by election commission staffing and logistical expenses.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Ерболатов |first=Дәурен |last2=Умитжан |first2=Бакелекова |date=8 May 2026 |title=«Референдумнан қымбатқа түседі»: Құрылтай сайлауына қанша қаржы жұмсалады |url=https://kz.kursiv.media/kk/2026-05-08/referendumnan-qymbatqa-tuesedi-quryltaj-sajlauyna-qansha-qarzhy-zhumsalady/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Kursiv Media Kazakhstan |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Орынбек |first=Мақпал |date=8 May 2026 |title=Құрылтай сайлауына қанша қаржы кетеді? – ОСК түсіндірді |url=https://baq.kz/ortalyq-saylau-komissiyasynyn-hatshysy-quryltay-saylauyn-otkizuge-zhumsalatyn-qarazhat-turaly-aytty-320025839/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=BAQ |language=kk}}</ref> Deputy Prime Minister — Minister of National Economy [[Serik Jumanğarin]] also stated that the elections would be financed from the republican budget, adding that precise cost estimates would only be determined once the official election date is set.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Файзолла |first=Алпамыс |date=8 May 2026 |title=Серік Жұманғарин Құрылтай сайлауының шығындары жөнінде пікір білдірді |url=https://kaz.inform.kz/news/serk-zhumangarin-kuriltay-saylauinin-shigindari-zhonnde-pkr-bldrd-f227aa75 |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Kazinform]] |language=kk}}</ref>
In May 2026, the CEC estimated that the cost of the Kurultai elections could exceed 15–20 billion tenge and surpass the expenses of previous republican referendums, including the [[2026 Kazakh constitutional referendum|2026 constitutional referendum]].<ref>{{Cite web |last=Адамбек |first=Альфия |date=8 May 2026 |title=Құрылтайды ұйымдастыру шығыны 15,5 млрд теңгеден асуы мүмкін - Arysinfo.kz қоғамдық-саяси, ақпараттық-танымдық сайт |url=https://arysinfo.kz/ajmak/kuryltajdy-ujymdastyru-shygyny-15-5-mlrd-tengeden-asuy-mumkin/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Arysinfo.kz |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Субботина |first=Алена |date=8 May 2026 |title=Құрылтай сайлауы Қазақстанға 20 млрд теңгеден астам қаражатқа түсуі мүмкін |url=https://kaztag.kz/kz/news/-ryltay-saylauy-aza-stan-a-20-mlrd-te-geden-astam-arazhat-a-t-sui-m-mkin |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=KazTAG |language=kk}}</ref> CEC secretary [[Şavkat Ötemisov]] noted that the final budget would be determined after the election date is announced, with major costs expected to be driven by election commission staffing and logistical expenses.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Ерболатов |first=Дәурен |last2=Умитжан |first2=Бакелекова |date=8 May 2026 |title=«Референдумнан қымбатқа түседі»: Құрылтай сайлауына қанша қаржы жұмсалады |url=https://kz.kursiv.media/kk/2026-05-08/referendumnan-qymbatqa-tuesedi-quryltaj-sajlauyna-qansha-qarzhy-zhumsalady/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=Kursiv Media Kazakhstan |language=kk}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web |last=Орынбек |first=Мақпал |date=8 May 2026 |title=Құрылтай сайлауына қанша қаржы кетеді? – ОСК түсіндірді |url=https://baq.kz/ortalyq-saylau-komissiyasynyn-hatshysy-quryltay-saylauyn-otkizuge-zhumsalatyn-qarazhat-turaly-aytty-320025839/ |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=BAQ |language=kk}}</ref> Deputy Prime Minister — Minister of National Economy [[Serik Jumanğarin]] also stated that the elections would be financed from the republican budget, adding that precise cost estimates would only be determined once the official election date is set.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Файзолла |first=Алпамыс |date=8 May 2026 |title=Серік Жұманғарин Құрылтай сайлауының шығындары жөнінде пікір білдірді |url=https://kaz.inform.kz/news/serk-zhumangarin-kuriltay-saylauinin-shigindari-zhonnde-pkr-bldrd-f227aa75 |access-date=14 May 2026 |website=[[Kazinform]] |language=kk}}</ref> In early June, Ötemisov further indicated that the final amount would depend on the number of registered voters, polling stations, and election commission personnel required for the vote.<ref>{{Cite web |last=Файзулина |first=Зарина |date=4 June 2026 |title=Сколько потратят на выборы в курултай? |url=https://ulysmedia.kz/news/74694-skolko-potratiat-na-vybory-v-kurultai/ |access-date=4 June 2026 |website=Ulysmedia.kz |language=ru}}</ref>
=== Electronic voting ===
=== Electronic voting ===
